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European Passenger Car Sales Rise 3.0% Y/Y in February, According to ACEA
16 Mar 10
The rate of growth in the European passenger car market is falling steadily, with sales in February up just 3.0% year-on-year; the low base of comparison and the legacy of the various incentive schemes are still having a supportive effect, but this is unlikely to be the case for much longer.
IHS Global Insight Perspective | | Significance | Passenger car sales in the European Union (EU) rose by 3.0% year-on-year (y/y) during February to 974,346 units, according to the latest data released by ACEA. | Implications | Although the market is continuing to register growth as a result of the low base of comparison and the legacy effects of the various incentive schemes introduced in 2009, it is more telling that the market in February was still well down on the 1 million or more units regularly seen during that month prior to the downturn. | Outlook | In line with many observers, IHS Global Insight is anticipating that sales in the EU will tumble during 2010 by around 11% y/y to 12.6 million units. |
The European passenger car market's growth rate is starting to slip, according to data for February released by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). The trade association has released sales data for the European Union (EU) showing a rise of just 3.0% year-on-year (y/y) to 974,346 units, taking the year-to-date (YTD) total to 2.03 million units, up 7.9% y/y. Including European markets not covered by the EU, sales just exceeded the 1-million-unit market, posting a gain of 3.2% y/y, while sales in the YTD increased by 8.1% y/y to 2.09 million units. In terms of individual market data, the various scrappage schemes introduced by individual governments have greatly influenced the performances of the different markets within Europe. This is illustrated by the performance of Europe's biggest market, Germany, which posted a substantial 29.8% y/y decline during February; it was the only major Western European country to register a decline, resulting from the exhaustion of the country's scrappage scheme fund. France, the United Kingdom, and Spain all witnessed double-digit percentage gains during the month as their own schemes continued in some form or another. On the other hand, Italy, which withdrew its scheme at the end of 2009, also continued to exhibit double-digit growth in February, although this was mainly due to the extremely low base of comparison and lingering effects from the scrappage scheme, with orders still being fulfilled. There were still some big variations in the Eastern European markets. The Czech Republic posted a 12.8% y/y rise, whereas the biggest market in the region, Poland, suffered a 19.2% y/y decline. However, worst hit in this region were the Romanian and Hungarian markets, which recorded declines of 63.0% y/y and 57.9% y/y, respectively. European Passenger Car Sales by Country: February 2010 | | | Feb 2010 | Feb 2009 | Y/Y % | YTD 2010 | YTD 2009 | Y/Y % | Austria | 21,786 | 18,827 | +15.7 | 42,668 | 37,819 | +12.8 | Belgium | 47,584 | 45,904 | +3.7 | 96,960 | 93,594 | +3.6 | Bulgaria | 1,104 | 1,990 | -44.5 | 2,106 | 3,898 | -46.0 | Czech Republic | 11,080 | 9,823 | +12.8 | 21,893 | 18,665 | +17.3 | Denmark | 8,599 | 7,436 | +15.6 | 19,271 | 15,237 | +26.5 | Estonia | 415 | 794 | -47.7 | 944 | 1,748 | -46.0 | Finland | 7,589 | 7,186 | +5.6 | 19,972 | 18,752 | +6.5 | France | 180,535 | 152,720 | +18.2 | 352,013 | 302,736 | +16.3 | Germany | 194,846 | 277,740 | -29.8 | 376,035 | 467,125 | -19.5 | Greece | 13,727 | 15,592 | -12.0 | 40,312 | 35,839 | +12.5 | Hungary | 3,042 | 7,217 | -57.9 | 5,810 | 13,294 | -56.3 | Ireland | 12,306 | 8,883 | +38.5 | 28,865 | 24,682 | +16.9 | Italy | 200,560 | 166,320 | +20.6 | 407,580 | 324,782 | +25.5 | Latvia | 265 | 443 | -40.2 | 531 | 937 | -43.3 | Lithuania | 435 | 526 | -17.3 | 874 | 1,270 | -31.2 | Luxemburg | 4,081 | 4,165 | -2.0 | 7,617 | 7,322 | +4.0 | Netherlands | 37,786 | 33,936 | +11.3 | 100,548 | 90,102 | +11.6 | Poland | 24,384 | 30,194 | -19.2 | 49,740 | 56,865 | -12.5 | Portugal | 15,346 | 10,030 | +53.0 | 29,905 | 19,025 | +57.2 | Romania | 2,658 | 7,187 | -63.0 | 4,792 | 21,002 | -77.2 | Slovakia | 3,476 | 3,301 | +5.3 | 6,393 | 6,208 | +3.0 | Slovenia | 4,803 | 4,716 | +1.8 | 9,853 | 9,288 | +6.1 | Spain | 91,281 | 62,107 | +47.0 | 161,411 | 121,492 | +32.9 | Sweden | 17,972 | 14,603 | +23.1 | 33,495 | 25,902 | +29.3 | United Kingdom | 68,686 | 54,359 | +26.4 | 214,165 | 166,446 | +28.7 | European Union (EU27) | 974,346 | 945,999 | +3.0 | 2,033,753 | 1,884,030 | +7.9 | Iceland | 74 | 91 | -19.0 | 162 | 217 | -25.5 | Norway | 9,094 | 6,287 | +44.6 | 18,791 | 11,640 | +61.4 | Switzerland | 17,241 | 17,616 | -2.1 | 35,979 | 35,447 | +1.5 | EFTA | 26,409 | 23,994 | +10.1 | 54,932 | 47,304 | +16.1 | EU27+EFTA | 1,000,754 | 969,993 | +3.2 | 2,088,684 | 1,931,334 | +8.1 |
The strong declines now being seen in the German market pushed the Volkswagen (VW) Group into deficit during February as its sales slipped by 1.7% y/y. All of the automaker's brands recorded declines during the month, except for SEAT, which reported a gain by virtue of its largest market being Spain. Sales of other major European automakers were largely supported by the continuing effects of the scrappage schemes. Among them, French automakers the Renault Group and PSA Peugeot-Citroën saw increases of 30% y/y and 18.4% y/y, helped by the neighbouring Spanish market, where both companies have a strong presence, while the Fiat Group continued to capitalise on earlier incentives in Italy, lifting its overall sales in the region by 5.1% y/y. However, U.S.-based automakers Ford and General Motors (GM) had contrasting months, with the former seeing a gain of 5.0% y/y and the latter slipping by 7.4% y/y.
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European Passenger Car Sales
by OEM: February 2010
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| |
Feb 2010
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Feb 2009
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Y/Y %
|
YTD 2010
|
YTD 2009
|
Y/Y %
|
|
All Brands**
|
1,000,754
|
969,993
|
+3.2
|
2,088,684
|
1,931,334
|
+8.1
|
|
VW Group
|
207,969
|
211,558
|
-1.7
|
431,648
|
412,050
|
+4.8
|
|
Volkswagen
|
110,878
|
112,391
|
-1.3
|
233,446
|
218,948
|
+6.6
|
|
Audi
|
40,926
|
43,618
|
-6.2
|
87,027
|
90,036
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-3.3
|
|
Seat
|
23,241
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21,215
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+9.5
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44,908
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43,017
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+4.4
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Skoda
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32,833
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34,229
|
-4.1
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66,013
|
59,797
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+10.4
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Others
|
91
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105
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-13.3
|
254
|
252
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+0.8
|
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PSA Group
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149,128
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125,914
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+18.4
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299,796
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254,642
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+17.7
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Peugeot
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79,740
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67,453
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+18.2
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161,156
|
135,576
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+18.9
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Citroen
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69,388
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58,461
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+18.7
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138,640
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119,066
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+16.4
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Renault Group
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109,663
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84,356
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+30.0
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225,226
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156,651
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+43.8
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Renault
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91,913
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72,241
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+27.2
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190,235
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134,370
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+41.6
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Dacia
|
17,750
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12,115
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+46.5
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34,991
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22,281
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+57.0
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Ford Group
|
99,801
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95,024
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+5.0
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210,973
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199,679
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+5.7
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Ford
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83,702
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81,624
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+2.5
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178,139
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170,930
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+4.2
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Volvo
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16,099
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13,400
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+20.1
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32,834
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28,749
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+14.2
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Fiat Group
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91,944
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87,500
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+5.1
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192,335
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171,159
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+12.4
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Fiat
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73,201
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70,988
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+3.1
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154,218
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138,174
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+11.6
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Lancia
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10,337
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8,723
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+18.5
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20,480
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16,631
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+23.1
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Alfa Romeo
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8,115
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7,451
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+8.9
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16,913
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15,451
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+9.5
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Others
|
291
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338
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-13.9
|
724
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903
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-19.8
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GM Group
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79,745
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86,116
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-7.4
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161,868
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166,456
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-2.8
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Opel/Vauxhall
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66,478
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70,462
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-5.7
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135,192
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136,575
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-1.0
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Chevrolet
|
12,049
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13,223
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-8.9
|
24,325
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24,693
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-1.5
|
|
Saab
|
1,067
|
2,221
|
-52.0
|
1,905
|
4,810
|
-60.4
|
|
GM (US)
|
151
|
210
|
-28.1
|
446
|
378
|
+18.0
|
|
Toyota Group
|
44,462
|
55,463
|
-19.8
|
100,584
|
107,380
|
-6.3
|
|
Toyota
|
43,531
|
54,512
|
-20.1
|
97,767
|
104,974
|
-6.9
|
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Lexus
|
931
|
951
|
-2.1
|
2,817
|
2,406
|
+17.1
|
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BMW Group
|
45,632
|
42,761
|
+6.7
|
93,819
|
88,080
|
+6.5
|
|
BMW
|
38,259
|
35,942
|
+6.4
|
77,562
|
74,763
|
+3.7
|
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Mini
|
7,373
|
6,819
|
+8.1
|
16,257
|
13,317
|
+22.1
|
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Daimler
|
41,413
|
42,478
|
-2.5
|
82,548
|
90,864
|
-9.2
|
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Mercedes
|
35,913
|
35,476
|
+1.2
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71,872
|
76,619
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-6.2
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Smart
|
5,500
|
7,002
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-21.5
|
10,676
|
14,245
|
-25.1
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Nissan
|
27,877
|
21,113
|
+32.0
|
62,083
|
46,854
|
+32.5
|
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Hyundai
|
26,114
|
25,128
|
+3.9
|
54,118
|
43,643
|
+24.0
|
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Kia
|
18,042
|
15,367
|
+17.4
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